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Civic leaders go to Supreme Court for a shot to void Marcos’ win

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May 17, 2022, Lian Buan

The Supreme Court is on a writing break and is set to resume only in June when Congress is presumably already done with canvass. But time is not an issue, says one lawyer.

MANILA, Philippines – The legal fight has officially reached the last resort, the Supreme Court, as civic leaders backed by human rights lawyers, asked one last time to cancel the certificate of candidacy of Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. and declare second placer Vice President Leni Robredo as the winner.

Having been denied by the Commission on Elections (Comelec) en banc on May 10, the group of former Supreme Court spokesperson Ted Te filed a petition for certiorari before the Court on Monday, May 16, a copy of which was released to media on Tuesday, May 17.

In a 70-page pleading, the group of Te with the backing of other human rights lawyers tried to convince the High Court justices to have a different appreciation of their arguments.

If the SC justices rule in their favor and cancel the COC of Marcos, Te’s petition said, citing a previous ruling, “The second-placer in the vote count is actually the first-placer among the qualified candidates.”

The formal request of the petition is actually to issue a temporary restraining order (TRO) or stopping the canvass of votes for Marcos, grant their petition, and declare Marcos’ candidacy as void.

Congress is expected to declare Marcos winner of the presidential election by the end of May, if we were to follow the timeline for President Rodrigo Duterte in 2016. Marcos has a bigger victory margin than Duterte, leading with 31.1 million votes compared to Robredo’s 14.8 million votes in partial unofficial count with 98.35% votes transmitted.

But the Supreme Court is on a writing break, and is set to resume sessions only by June.

Election lawyer Emil Marañón, who was counsel for Robredo in the now junked vice presidential electoral protest filed against her by Marcos, said time is not an issue for the Supreme Court.

“Even if Marcos has already sworn and assumed office, the Supreme Court would still have residual jurisdiction to rule on whether or not he committed material misrepresentation in his Certificate of Candidacy and order its cancellation, if it finds basis,” said Marañón.

“In that case, votes cast in Marcos’ favor will be treated as stray and not be counted. And whoever gets the highest number of votes after subtracting the stray votes, gets to be proclaimed President,” Marañón added.

The challenge is also to convince the Supreme Court full of Duterte appointees not to be passive on the issue, as one of the potential rulings could be to respect the “will of the people,” in short, to listen to the will of the 31 million voters.

Te’s petition said: “A candidate’s putative election victory cannot subsequently cure his ineligibility. Elections are more than just a numbers game such that an election victory cannot bypass election eligibility requirements.”

Arguments

The group’s main argument is this: Marcos’ conviction for failure to file income tax returns in 1997 has made him ineligible to run for public office, and knowing this, he still declared himself in his COC to be eligible which is material misrepresentation.

The Comelec junked this case saying that the version of the tax law applicable to Marcos did not perpetually disqualify him from holding public office, and therefore Marcos did not misrepresent in his COC.

A contentious issue is the year 1986.

Marcos was convicted of failure to file ITRs from the years 1982 to 1985. The Comelec said the prevailing tax law at the time was the 1977 tax code which did not require mandatory prison time for offenders, and did not impose automatic perpetual disqualification as penalty. Prison time is important because conviction of an offense with more than 18 months of imprisonment is a ground for disqualification.

But what about the taxable year 1985, the ITR of which was supposed to have been filed in March 1986? And by March 1986, there was already a new tax code which mandated prison time and imposed automatic perpetual disqualification.

The Comelec said by March 1986, Marcos was no longer a public officer because their family had fled to Hawaii February that year.

Te’s group disagreed, saying in the petition, “Nowhere in Respondent Marcos, Jr.’s seven-page Answer is there a denial that he was a public official at the time the criminal violations of the [tax code] were consummated.”

“Marcos Jr.’s status as a public officer on March 18, 1986 is not only fact, it is judicial truth that he never questioned on appeal, and which may no longer be revised even by COMELEC without violating res judicata and the hierarchy of courts,” said the petition.

FMJ – Petition for Certiorari – Buenafe, et al v COMELEC.docx

“It is ironic that Respondent Marcos, Jr. now claims that he was no longer a public officer after EDSA 1 when his own father Marcos, Sr. repeatedly insisted that he was still the sitting President of the Philippines and “denounced the Government of Corazon C. Aquino as ‘a plain and simple dictatorship,” said the petition.

Marcos or his spokesperson have not made any comments yet to the petition. – Rappler.com

[New School] Marcos’ victory is the price of elite democracy

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May 16, 2022, Kyle Parada

‘As long as poverty is rampant and government is unable to provide every Filipino with basic services, vote-buying, whether explicit or implicit, will persist throughout every election’

May 9, 2022 marked what was, perhaps, the most consequential Philippine election since 1986.  

The Marcoses – the world’s poster children for corruption, extravagance, and authoritarianism – are set for a triumphant return to Malacañang in what is shaping up to be the largest electoral landslide in recent history, more than 36 years since the People Power Revolution that drove them to exile in Hawaii. The road to their rehabilitation had been decades in the making. Last Monday, it reached its culmination.  

This election proved the battleground for a “new” and “old” kind of politics. On the one end, a campaign funded and motivated by acts of extreme volunteerism the likes of which we may never see again, possible only through the collective effort of a broad spectrum of Philippine progressives united in defense of democracy and the dream of a better country. On the other, an unholy union between the Philippines’ most infamous politico-economic elites, a concerted effort at disinformation, black propaganda, and historical revisionism, and the well-oiled machinery of  patronage and clientelist politics which, in place of genuine engagement with the public and their concerns, they relied on to deliver many of their votes.

In the end, it seems “old” politics will win by a margin of 16 million. But the questions on everyone’s minds are: Why? Was it fraud? The strategic misuse of social media? Can we chalk it down to the “uneducated” or the apathetic voter? I do not think so. The truth is that Marcos Jr. had only exploited Filipinos’ sentiments against the failures of liberal democracy. He did not materialize them of out of his own will.  

When the elder Marcos was ousted in 1986, the Aquino regime brought with it the promise of a better Philippines: an end to corruption, murder, and violence, economic recovery, the restoration of democracy, the rule of law. Instead, Cory Aquino re-established the old political elite, reconciled with the new ones Marcos Sr. had introduced, disenfranchised the peasantry, and reneged on her commitment to genuine agrarian reform. When her son, Noynoy Aquino, promised as much under his tuwid na daan, Filipinos were met with an infamous corruption scandal,  anomalous dealings, botched military and police operations, and an economic boom that disproportionately benefited the country’s elite, out of reach of the general public, where continued  social, political, and economic inequality stood contrary to true inclusive development. 

For many since, the idealism that spurred the EDSA Revolution seemed all for nothing, its fire suffocated by a promise broken, a revolution betrayed. What took its place was an iron fist – a nostalgic longing for peace, order, stability, and the “golden age” fantasy of authoritarian rule. Indeed, many voters have become ambivalent to democracy, skeptical of their and their countrymen’s ability to adequately manage the freedom that democracy provides, exhausted with the tired old narratives of high-minded and lofty ideals. To their eyes, the Marcoses were victims – victims of an oligarchic coup d’etat that robbed them of what could have been their “greatest” years; victims just like them. And whatever changes the Liberal Party synonymous with the Aquino legacy could have made in the lead-up to 2022 or, for that matter, 2016, would have never been enough to earn their forgiveness for this theft.  

Now, democracy is far from perfect. When we institute a system of government predicated on the belief that the rule of the many will always prove wiser than the few, we inevitability invite with it all the dangers of human plurality – alongside brilliance, our prejudices; alongside courage, our fears; alongside compassion, our selfishness. That is the capriciousness of human nature. Democracy’s success has always rested on our ability to establish consensus and reach a compromise between competing actors and their interests. That we were unable to prevent the re-establishment of a national oligarchy and their continued dominance over the political scene post-1986 – that we were unable to prevent the rule of the many from degenerating into the rule of the few through the many – means we have unequivocally failed in that regard. Left with little choice, the disgruntled elements of Philippine society rallied around Rodrigo Duterte in 2016, and they rallied again around Ferdinand Marcos Jr. this 2022.  

Marcos’ victory cannot be reduced to a failure of election but the failure of an entire system of elite democracy which has transformed the country into the personal plaything of a few influential individuals. After all, we need not look further than the winning tandem – a marriage between two prominent dynasties, propped up by billionaires  who have benefited greatly under the past administration, masterminded by one of the most enduring personalities in the history of Philippine politics: Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo. And I make this clear – even the Robredo camp had more than its fair share of oligarchic support. In fact, the Pink Revolution’s balancing act between the interests of traditional politicians and potential donors on one end, with the interests of the marginalized on the other, is undoubtedly one of the reasons why it failed to win over many working-class voters in the first place; and why the Independent Robredo could not shake off her association with the Liberal Party in the eyes of many Filipinos.  

Doubtless, six years under a Marcos presidency would be horrible to imagine. In any other country, an exiled dictator’s son would have never been allowed this close to the pinnacle of power. Nevertheless, reality is right at our doorstep. Its danger was evident as early as 2015. Our emotions are high, our anger is justified. And I cannot help but feel an overwhelming sense of guilt at not having done enough to prevent it. But elections are not the end-all and be-all of the democratic project. Governance is a collective process, one that involves us as much as it does the country’s leadership. 

This election has simply proven that which many of us already know – that it is still traditional politics that determine the outcome of Philippine elections. Local politicians gave Marcos Jr. the one thing he did not already have in 2016: access to the political machinery of their petty kingdoms. That has made all the difference. As long as poverty is rampant and government is unable to provide every Filipino with basic services, vote-buying, whether explicit or implicit, will persist throughout every election. As long as there are warlords and private armies in  Mindanao, electoral violence, and violence in general, will persist south of the country. As long as patronage and clientelism are pervasive – and it begins with utang na loob – politicians and voters alike will continue to support whoever is most likely to reward them for their efforts.  

Until we manage to dismantle the Philippine elite’s monopoly on wealth and power and present a viable (and popular) alternative to trapo-style governance (on either end of the spectrum), there can be no future for liberal democracy in this country. There will be more Marcoses, there will be more Dutertes, and we will contend with them until the end of our days. So maybe it is time we rethink our strategy; to chip away at these oppressive establishments not at their summit but at their foundation; to hold to account those rightfully beholden to us at the level of local government. After all, we are not clients; they are not our patrons. We owe nothing to them; they owe everything us. 

If there is a lesson to be learned here, it is that transformative action and civic mobilization are our only real path forward. We have already planted the seed for a genuine people’s movement in this election; now is the time to nourish it. We must not lose hope and we must not lose our  momentum. The rose will bloom – one day. Until then, our work is far from over. – Rappler.com

Kyle Parada is a senior taking up Political Science at the Ateneo de Manila University. To know the truth behind the myths of the Marcos family, he invites readers to visit the Ateneo’s Digital Martial Law Museum.

Philippines forgets history and sells its soul for another Marcos

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by David Robie – May 10, 2022, asia-pacificreport.nz

rotests have broken out after the provisional tallies that give Marcos a “lead of millions” with more than 97 percent of the cote counted. Official results could still take some days.

The Pink Power volunteers
The Pink Power volunteers would-be revolution … living the spirit of democracy. Image: BBC screenshot APR

Along with Bongbong, his running mate Davao City Mayor Sara Duterte, daughter of strongman Rodrigo Duterte, president for the past six years and who has been accused of human rights violations over the killings of thousands of alleged suspects in a so-called “war in drugs”, is decisively in the lead as vice-president.

On the eve of the republic’s most “consequential election” in decades, Filipina journalism professor Sheila Coronel, director of practice at the Columbia University’s Toni Stabile School of Investigative Journalism in New York, said the choice was really simple.

“The election is a battle between remembering and forgetting, a choice between the future and the past.”

Martial law years
“Forgotten” … the martial law years

Significantly more than half of the 67.5 million voters have apparently chosen to forget – including a generation that never experienced the brutal crackdowns under martial law in 1972-1981, and doesn’t want to know about it. Yet 70,000 people were jailed, 35,000 were tortured, 4000 were killed and free speech was gagged.

Duterte’s erosion of democracy
After six years of steady erosion of democracy under Duterte, is the country now about to face a fatal blow to accountability and transparency with a kleptomaniac family at the helm?

Dictator Marcos is believed to have accumulated $10 billion while in power and while Philippine authorities have only been able to recover about a third of this through ongoing lawsuits, the family refuses to pay a tax bill totalling $3.9 billion, including penalties.

In many countries the tax violations would have disqualified Marcos Jr from even standing for the presidency.

The late President Ferdinand Marcos
The late President Ferdinand Marcos declared martial law in the Philippines in 1972 … “killing” democracy and retaining power for 14 years. Image: Getrealphilippines.com

“A handful of other autocrats were also busy stealing from their people in that era – in Haiti, Nicaragua, Iran – but Marcos stole more and he stole better,” according to The Guardian’s Nick Davies.

“Ultimately, he emerges as a laboratory specimen from the early stages of a contemporary epidemic: the global contagion of corruption that has since spread through Africa and South America, the Middle East and parts of Asia. Marcos was a model of the politician as thief.”

Tensions were running high outside the main office of the Commission on Elections (Comelec) in Intramuros, Manila, today as protests erupted over the “unjust” election process and the expected return of the Marcoses to the Malacañang Palace.

The Comelec today affirmed its dismissal of two sets of cases – or a total four appeals – seeking to bar Marcos Jr. from the elections due to his tax conviction in the 1990s.

Ruling after the elections
The ruling was released a day after the elections, when the partial, unofficial tally showed that the former senator was on the brink of winning the presidency.

It wasn’t entirely surprising, as five of the seven-member Comelec bench had earlier voted in favour of the former senator in at least one of the four anti-Marcos petitions that had already been dismissed

Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr
Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr … commanding lead in the Philippine presidential elections. Image: Rappler

One further appeal can be made before the Supreme Court.

As mounting allegations of election fraud and cheating greeted the provisional ballot trends, groups began filing formal complaints.

One watchdog, Bakla Bantay Boto, said it had received “numerous reports of illegal campaigning, militarised polling precincts, and an absurd [number] of broken vote counting machines (VCMs)” throughout the Philippines.

“Intensified violence has also marked today’s election. Poll watchers have been tragically killed in Buluan, Maguindanao and Binidayan, Lanao del Sur, while an explosive was detonated in a voting centre in Kobacan, Cotabato.

“The violent red-tagging of several candidates and party lists [was] also in full force, with text blasts to constituents and posters posted within polling precincts, insinuating that they are linked to the CPP-NPA-NDFP [Communist Party of the Philippines and allies].”

Social media disinformation
Explaining the polling in the face of a massive social media disinformation campaign by Marcos supporters, Rappler’s livestream anchor Bea Cupin noted how the Duterte administration had denied a renewal of a franchise for ABS-CBN, the largest and most influential free-to-air television station two years ago.

This act denied millions of Filipinos access to accurate and unbiased news coverage. Rappler itself and its Nobel Peace laureate chief executive Maria Ressa, were also under constant legal attack and the target of social media trolls.

A BBC report interviewed a typical professional troll who managed hundreds of Facebook pages and fake profiles for his clients, saying his customers for fake stories “included governors, congressmen and mayors.”

Presidential candidate Leni Robredo
Presidential candidate Leni Robredo … only woman candidate and the target of Filipino trolls. Image: DR/APR

Meta — owners of Facebook — reported that its Philippines subsidiary had removed many networks that were attempting to manipulate people and media. They were believed to have included a cluster of more than 400 accounts, pages, and groups that were violated the platform’s codes of conduct.

Pink Power candidate human rights lawyer Leni Robredo, who defeated Marcos for the vice-presidency in the last election in 2016, and who was a target for many of the troll attacks, said: “Lies repeated again and again become the truth.”

Academics have warned the risks that the country is taking in not heeding warnings of the past about the Marcos family. An associate professor of the University of Philippines, Dr Aries Arugay, reflects: “We just don’t jail our politicians or make them accountable … we don’t punish them, unlike South Korean presidents.”

As Winston Churchill famously said in 1948: “Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.”

Jedi, prepare for our return

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By: Solita Collas-Monsod – @inquirerdotnet Philippine Daily Inquirer /May 14, 2022

Stop mopping the floor with your faces, Reader, Digital Warriors, volunteers. There’s work to be done, if we are to get our country back. The first order of business is to get involved in our barangay elections (BE) in December. We need to get involved—as campaigners, as volunteers, and, more importantly, as candidates (especially the youth from the poor).

The barangays are slim pickings, you say? I invite you to read the works of the late Manny Valdehuesa on the subject (I only found out this morning that he passed away last August). Google him, please. Manny was the founder of the Gising Barangay Movement. And armed with this information, we can get to work. Let’s not waste the energy, especially the youth’s, that was generated and inspired by the Leni Robredo campaign.

It goes without saying that this effort goes hand in hand with the ongoing Let Women Lead campaign (letwomenlead.org).

So you want to look back first? Certainly. Our defeat offers three valuable lessons (following Fr. Tito Caluag’s homilies which always have three reflection points). Part of the learning process which we will be foolish not to take seriously. What did we learn? My take:

Our experience is like a reprise from Star Wars’ “The Empire Strikes Back.” Remember the last six years, when some political dynasties suffered defeats? The Estradas as a prime example. Well, the dynasties have made a come back, the empire really struck back. The much vaunted unity being bruited about in the Marcos-Duterte campaign was not of the people, but of the dynasties—Marcos-Romualdez, Estrada, Arroyo, Garcia, Revilla, etc., etc.—who were aware that a Robredo victory would deal a telling blow, maybe even a death one, to the dynasties which have been at the root of all the corruption and mismanagement in the Philippine government.

And they have succeeded in spades, in a comeback. We now have in the Senate two Villars, two Cayetanos, two Estradas, plus Zubiri, to add to the Angara, Revilla, and Binay already there (Jojo B would have made it to the Senate, but I guess the Marcoses cannot forget that he was once a freedom-fighter against the Marcos dictatorship).

So, following the Star Wars epic, it is now time for the “Return of the Jedi” (that’s us). We might also be reminded that between “The Empire Strikes Back” and the “Return of the Jedi,” it took three years. It is not going to be a picnic.

Which brings us to the second valuable lesson: The Marcos camp started its campaign for the hearts and minds of the Filipino people through social media way back in 2014. Leni stopped them in 2016, but alas, failed to do so in 2022. Maria Ressa’s Rappler (of which I am proudly a board member) actually shouted this out in 2019, or more than two years ago, in a three-part report—“How the Marcoses are using social media to reclaim Malacañang,” “How the Marcoses are rewriting history,” and “False narratives from the Marcos arsenal.” All backed by hard evidence.

So what’s the second lesson here? Actually this second lesson has two parts: One is that we have to start long-term planning now, starting with the BE, the second is that we have to learn to read the signs—or rather, pay more attention to Rappler.

And finally, there is the third lesson: We cannot let our guard down. We have to remain vigilant, which implies that we have to learn to do more than one thing at a time (this is a breeze for women). We cannot just concentrate on the BE.

Gerald Ford, the former US vice president and president, was said to have difficulty walking and chewing gum at the same time. We cannot afford to do a Gerald Ford. That is why, with all due respect to my colleague, Ciel Habito, who entertains the hope that Mr. Marcos may show us all that he is a transformative leader, I say: Don’t hold your breath. I’ve another colleague who insists (with basis) that past behavior predicts future behavior. And Marcos Jr.’s past behavior does not augur very well for our future.

Who do you suppose will end up paying for the enormous sums of money spent on the six-year social media campaign of Marcos Jr.? And for the transactional politics that convinced so many governors, mayors, and the like, to support him? Unlike our D and E voters, who were ill-informed but sincerely motivated and should not be blamed (e.g. Filipinos are “bobo”), these politicians were motivated by greed and self-preservation. Do you think Marcos Jr. will not want a return on his ill-gotten investments?

Jedi, prepare for our return.

1Sambayan asks Comelec to probe into reports of poll irregularities

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Gaea Katreena Cabico – Philstar.com May 13, 2022

MANILA, Philippines — Opposition coalition 1Sambayan asked the Commission on Elections to investigate vote buying incidents and spread of disinformation on social media that cast doubt on the integrity of the May 9 elections.

In a statement,1Sambayan said irregularities such as vote buying, voter disenfranchisement, vote counting machine malfunctions, widespread disinformation on social media, and red-tagging marred the conduct of the polls.

“Nanawagan kami sa Comelec na imbestigahan ang mga ito at papanagutin ang mga may-sala upang malaman ng mga mamamayan ang katotohanan at para hindi na maulit sa mga susunod na halalan,” it said.

(We are urging the Comelec to investigate these and to hold accountable those behind these incidents so people will know the truth and these irregularities will not be repeated in future elections.)

1Sambayan also said it is reviewing election returns that were reported in the poll body’s quick count. The coalition’s review indicates that those election returns match with the partial election returns gathered by 1Sambayan at the precinct level.

Election watchdog Parish Pastoral Council for Responsible Voting reported Thursday 100% match rate between the electronic election returns and the first batch of physical ERs it has encoded.

In response to protests alleging poll irregularities, Comelec John Rex Laudiangco said Friday that all of the poll body’s proceedings have been transparent since the beginning and have been in accordance with laws and rules.

“We could proudly state that no cheating happened,” he said.

1Sambayan, which backed the tandem of Vice President Leni Robredo and Sen. Francis ‘Kiko’ Pangilinan, thanked the presidential and vice presidential bets for standing up and leading the fight for honest governance.

“Patuloy niyo kaming makakasama sa ating misyon para sa isang pamahalaan na magpapalakas ng ating ekonomiya, gagawa ng trabaho at hanapbuhay, makakapagbigay ng social services, magkakamit ng katarungan at magpapayabong ng ating likas na yaman para sa ikauunlad ng lahat ng Pilipino,” the coalition said.

(We will continue to be with you in this mission of a government that will strengthen the economy, create jobs and livelihood, provide social services, achieve justice, and develop our natural resources for the betterment of Filipinos.)

Robredo’s archrival, Ferdinand ‘Bongbong’ Marcos Jr. clinched a landslide win in this year’s polls with 31.1 million votes so far, based on partial and unofficial count. Robredo was in distant second, with over 14.8 million votes.

Philippine election: What does a Marcos Jnr presidency mean for Asean and democracy in the region?

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Maria Siow and Dewey Sim in Singapore

Published: May, 2022

Students and activists march in Manila outside the Commission on Elections on May 10, 2022. Photo: Reuters
  • Eyes will be on whether his administration follows Duterte’s pivot away from the US in favour of China, and his approach to the South China Sea dispute, analysts say
  • Marcos Jnr’s victory also contributes to ‘regional democratic regression’, observers say, not least due to his refusal to admit his family’s wrongdoings and his campaign’s use of fake news to win the election

Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jnr’s landslide victory in Monday’s presidential election could prove to be a double-edged sword for Southeast Asia, depending on how he positions the Philippines amid the ongoing superpower rivalry, according to analysts.

Marcos Jnr’s win is also a sign of democratic regression in a region which has in recent years witnessed a widespread decline in democratic norms and governance, the experts said, adding that there appeared to be a trend of growing support for autocracy in Southeast Asia and beyond.

Marcos Jnr is the son and namesake of the late Philippine dictator whose family has been synonymous with kleptocracy in Southeast Asia for decades.

https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/3177233/philippine-election-what-does-marcos-jnr-presidency-mean-asean

(Opinion) The morning after

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SKETCHES Ana Marie Pamintuan – The Philippine Star, May 11, 2022

On Monday night, New Zealand and Canada were trending on social media… as destinations for Filipinos who can afford to flee a Marcos 2 presidency.

Gloating minions of the Marcos camp will surely say good riddance and don’t come back, especially to the kakampinks. It’s guaranteed to ensure sustained polarization, but the victors’ reaction to this will likely be, nyah nyah nyah.

There will be the usual political realignments, with the tiny Partido Federal ng Pilipinas soon to become the new ruling party.

The pollsters are big winners again, but they will avoid saying, “We told you so.”

Voter turnout was even more impressive than usual. It was touching how people camped out even overnight outside polling precincts where vote counting machines had malfunctioned, and refused to leave until they had personally cast their ballots.

Yesterday our long-time veterinarian told me he’d give me a discount for his house call this month for my dogs’ annual shots. It was in celebration, he said wryly, of the victory of open season for corruption. Plus he no longer sees the need to pay his professional income tax.

As for the Senate, you wonder what people think of the role of government in their lives, when they make an actor who served time in Bilibid for illegal gun possession number one in the Senate race. Looking on the bright side, at least showbiz personalities still provide a strong challenge to entrenched political dynasties.

There’s talk of people developing PESD: Post-Election Stress Disorder.

The teeth-gnashing over the election outcome feels like 1998 all over again, when the nation seemed to be hurtling along an inexorable path to a train wreck following the landslide win of Joseph Estrada.

There were also efforts at the time to field a common candidate against Erap, which would offer the best shot at defeating him, since pre-election surveys also consistently showed his imminent victory.

As the presidency also seemed etched in Erap’s destiny – iginuhit ng tadhana – that unity effort never got off the ground. And as we are seeing today, on the morning after the votes had been counted in 1998, the also-rans expressed no regrets about their failure to unite.

Despite criticisms of his predilection for wine (expensive Petrus), women, all-night carousing and high-stakes gambling, the masses embraced movie superstar Erap, giving him over 10.7 million votes or 39.86 percent of the total.

Closest rival Jose de Venecia Jr. of the then ruling Lakas-NUCD-UMDP, painted by opponents as a quintessential trapo or traditional politician, garnered only about 4.3 million or 15.87 percent of the votes.

*      *      *

Estrada maintained a solid base all the way to his ouster through EDSA Dos and replacement by his vice president Gloria Macagapal-Arroyo, seen as his polar opposite in terms of brains, work ethic and religious devotion. Erap’s rating in the fourth quarter 2000 survey conducted by Social Weather Stations Inc., taken about a month before his ouster, had 44 percent of the respondents satisfied and 35 percent dissatisfied.

This time, voters have made Bongbong Marcos the first majority winner of the presidency since the days of the two-party system. Truly, Ferdinand Senior has risen from the dead, bumangon nga muli.

Bongbong Marcos will be entitled to a 100-day honeymoon period, although the countdown starts when he formally assumes the presidency. Since his supporters have embraced him despite all the brickbats thrown his way, as Erap’s supporters used to do, it’s doubtful that BBM would care whether or not he gets a honeymoon period. It’s going to be a Teflon presidency, like Rodrigo Duterte’s.

Yesterday the Commission on Elections en banc, as expected, threw out with finality the disqualification cases against Marcos.

It’s the end of the hunt for the Marcos wealth, and the Bureau of Internal Revenue can kiss the P23-billion estate tax goodbye.

The new mother of the nation is the low-key lawyer Louise “Liza” Araneta-Marcos.

And the grandmother of the nation is the flamboyant Imelda Marcos. Fully vindicated, Imeldific will soon stroll triumphantly back to Malacañang, singing “Dahil sa Iyo” once again and doodling about the Philippines being the center of the universe. Imeldific, out on bail for corruption, is home free, completely. No way will a Philippine president allow his mother to land in prison.

For our own sake, let’s hope the worst fear of BBM critics does not materialize: that his initials stand for Babagsak Muli for the nation. There’s that admonition to be careful what you wish for.

*      *      *

This year’s also-rans need not fret; Bongbong Marcos is a role model for staging a dramatic political comeback.

But the also-rans won’t have the Marcoses’ fabled wealth (backed by the wealth of dynastic allies). In the light of “innovations” in the just concluded campaign, they could also have a tougher time breaking the stranglehold on power of incumbents.

Among the innovations: barangay officials reportedly went house-to-house during the campaign period, not for COVID vaccination or booster shots, but to tell residents they would get special ayuda from the Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD) if they voted for a certain set of candidates.

The voters in the household were reportedly made to sign a document with the DSWD letterhead for their name, address, contact number and GCash account number for the ayuda payment.

This year as the Supreme Court’s Mandanas ruling takes effect, local governments will get an even bigger share of national revenues, which can be used for similar purposes even before the formal start of the next election campaign in 2025. Dynasties can become even more deeply entrenched in this system.

This presumes that there will be midterm elections in 2025. Marcos’ party springboard for the presidency advocates federalism, which calls for rewriting the Constitution.

If Charter change succeeds this time and the government shifts to a parliamentary system, the current crop of officials may be in power forever.

When that shift happens, there could soon be Little Manila or Filipinotowns in New Zealand and Canada.

‘Golden age’: Marcos myths on Philippine social media

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Agence France-Presse, May 8, 2022

MANILA, Philippines — Ferdinand Marcos Junior appears on the cusp of victory in next week’s presidential polls, with his seemingly unassailable lead fuelled by a decades-long misinformation campaign to revamp the family brand.

The clan’s comeback from pariahs in exile to the peak of political power has been built on a relentless barrage of fake and misleading posts on social media. 

Pro-Marcos pages have sought to rewrite the family’s history, spreading fallacies about everything from the patriarch’s dictatorship to court rulings about the billions of dollars stolen from state coffers. 

AFP’s Fact Check team has debunked many of the myths swirling around the Marcoses.

Here are five of the most shared: 

Assassination attempt

An alleged attempt to kill Marcos Jr ignited social media at the beginning of February, days before the presidential election campaign season kicked off. 

A video posted on a Facebook account named Anti bias, which has repeatedly attacked Marcos Jr’s main rival Leni Robredo and her opposition party, showed a news report about a bullet hole in a window of Marcos Jr’s office.

It was viewed more than three million times. 

But AFP fact-checkers found the video was more than six years old.

It had been taken from a news report published by GMA News on its social media accounts in August 2015 when Marcos Jr was a senator.

Ignored by the media

On the presidential campaign trail, Marcos Jr has shunned most media interviews and largely ignored journalist questions at rallies. 

Yet multiple posts swarming social media claim he is the one being ignored.

A video posted on YouTube on March 16 asserted that Marcos Jr’s rally in the northern province of Nueva Ecija was “not covered by the media”.

The clip was viewed more than 23,000 times after it was posted by a YouTube channel called Showbiz Fanaticz, which has a history of peddling election-related misinformation.

But the reality was very different. 

Local broadcaster ABS-CBN and other news outlets including News5 and OnePH published video reports of the rally. 

Another video posted on the Facebook page Para sa Pagbabago showed Marcos Jr speaking in 2014 about rebuilding efforts following Super Typhoon Haiyan.

It was shared 12,000 times and viewed 555,000 times, with many users commenting that the interview was not broadcast by the media.

But AFP fact-checkers found various news outlets had aired portions of the interview while other organisations produced reports based on his remarks.

Golden age

Pro-Marcos pages have long sought to portray Ferdinand Marcos’s dictatorship as a “golden age” of peace and prosperity, rather than a violent and corrupt regime that left the country impoverished.

One claim that the Philippines was the second-richest country after Japan during the Marcos regime was posted in March 2020 on the Facebook page DU30 MEDIA Network, which pretends to be a legitimate media outlet. 

It was shared about 300 times. 

AFP fact-checkers consulted experts who said the economic data from the Marcos years told a very different story.

Philippine gross domestic product actually went from being fifth in Asia at the start of the dictator’s rule to sixth by 1985, as the country languished in a deep recession.

Another post on the Facebook page Bangon Bansang Maharlika in October 2020 claimed the elder Marcos and Filipino nationalist Jose Rizal set up the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund.

It was shared nearly a hundred times. 

Both institutions were created in 1944, five decades after Rizal’s death and 20 years before Marcos was elected president of the Philippines. 

No plunder

The Philippines’ highest court said in 2003 that the legitimate income of Marcos and his flamboyant wife Imelda during their 20 years in power was $304,372.43. 

Yet more than $658 million was found in their Swiss bank accounts, which the court ordered to be handed back to the government. 

It was a fraction of the $10 billion estimated to have been plundered from state coffer during the regime.

But a Facebook account named Ghee Vin Walker posted a claim in 2018 that no court had ever ruled the Marcoses had stolen money from the treasury. 

It was shared nearly 9,000 times. 

Many Filipinos have been deceived into believing Marcos made his wealth when he was a lawyer, before becoming president.

One such claim posted on the Facebook page Gabs TV in September 2020 asserted Marcos received a massive gold payment from a client in 1949. 

Abuses downplayed

A misleading video posted on Facebook during the 2022 election campaign sought to downplay human rights abuses committed during the Marcos years.

Amnesty International estimates Marcos’s security forces either killed, tortured, sexually abused, mutilated or arbitrarily detained about 70,000 opponents.

But the video shows the elder Marcos alleging the rights group did not visit the Philippines and had relied on “hearsay” in its reports about the abuses during his dictatorship.

It was shared more than 3,000 times and viewed 184,000 times. 

Multiple historical accounts indicate Amnesty International visited the Philippines at least twice during the Marcos presidency.